NHL Picks for Friday. This season: + $13 131 (212-166-36)

Mathemagician · Jan 2, 2003

Anaheim -0.5 +110, stake $300
Columbus 0.5 +135, stake $300
Carolina -0.5 +125, stake $300
NY Islanders -0.5 +133, stake $300
Anh - Phi Under 5 -144, stake $100
Atl - Pit Under 6 +105, stake $100
Buf - Car Under 5 -130, stake $100

Click here for Mathemagician's track record for NHL

Guest · Jan 3, 2003

Nice record. Up 13k and not playing that big.

Guest · Jan 3, 2003

Any good hockey outs besides Pinnacle?

Mathemagician · Jan 3, 2003

The odds used in my picks are mostly from Planet Pinnacle, Olympic and Canbet.

I suggest visiting http://www.sportsbookreview.com/ to get more information about different bookmakers.

Guest · Jan 3, 2003

i have always admired guys who are good with numbers, but still waiting for explanation why you feel laying -44 on a hockey total is a good play?

to be frank, if you think it IS, then my admiration is diminished.

bb

Mathemagician · Jan 3, 2003

If the probability to win a bet is over 59%, then it's always a good bet to lay -44. It's just a mathematical fact.

And I estimate Anaheim-Philadelphia game to go under 5 goals with 66% probability. (Considering the possibility of push of course, so the actual probability to go under is actually not that high and it doesn't need to be.)

Guest · Jan 3, 2003

well i hope youre not betting a lot because its the wrong play!! suggest YOU do the math. which is better? under 5.0-44 OR under 4.5+10?

i'll be jumping in your cookies every time you suggest a play like that...

NEVER (at this forum) say things like "its ALWAYS a good play to lay -44" on a hockey total. that kind of crap might go over at other sites, but not here.

bb

Guest · Jan 3, 2003

for all i know you might indeed be a good hockey handicapper; however, you certainly need to learn how to be hockey BETTOR. there is difference. if i make a hockey game 69 percent to fall under 5.0 but the juice is -44, i PASS, look for a prop, or look for under 4.5+$. REMEMBER the expected percentage for result is NOT ONLY WHAT YOU MAKE IT, but what the result actually is. i do know many sharp players (most of whom bet far more than myself) ALL would agree that laying -44 on a hockey total would be a stupid play. if i recall when you listed two totals -44 and -30 i brought up point that if you wanted to win - BOTH bets must get there! i also pointed out that i respected guys who were sharp with numbers and from what ive seen your contributions to this page are welcome.

bb

Ninja · Jan 3, 2003

Quick question. When you say you are staking $100 at -144, does that mean you are laying 144 to win 100, or that you are laying 100 to win 70?

Glad to see you have done so well. Hope you can keep up the good work.